Projections · Player Tape

The 949 Ticker

Treat every player like a stock. Open = projection. Close = points scored. Wick = floor / ceiling.

Compare up to 6

Picker

17
Josh Allen
QBBUF · vs KC
ADP
#12
POS Rk
#1
ROS pts
413
Weekly tape

Open / Close / Floor / Ceiling

Up week (close > open)Down weekBye
433222110NOWBYEW1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W18
AS
AS
AS
HS
HS
AS
AS
HS
AS
HS
AS
HS
HS
AM
HS
AM
AS
Season tracker

Adjusted projection

Preseason baseline
374
22.0 pts/wk · 17 games
Adjusted total
413
+39 vs baseline
Played vs projected
238.1actual
vs
250.7projected
-12.5
Remaining schedule projects 174.4 pts across 7 games. Model holds the baseline open through bye, then adjusts forward weekly based on observed delta.
Tape summary

Candle stats

Up weeks
3/10
Down weeks
7/10
Beat rate
30%
Avg delta
-1.3
Biggest beat
W2 @KC · 25.2 on 24.3 proj (+0.9)
Worst miss
W7 @TB · 23.5 on 26.3 proj (-2.8)